Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Springer Nature Nature Human Behaviour, 7(4), 484-501. Nature Publishing Group The Forecasting Collaborative 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 484-501 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1 Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 4, pp. 484-501 Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 484-501 Grossmann, I, Rotella, A, Hutcherson, C A, Sharpinskyi, K, Varnum, M E W, Achter, S, Dhami, M K, Guo, X E, Kara-Yakoubian, M, Mandel, D R, Raes, L, Tay, L, Vie, A, Wagner, L, Adamkovic, M, Arami, A, Arriaga, P, Bandara, K, Baník, G, Bartoš, F, Baskin, E, Bergmeir, C, Białek, M, Børsting, C K, Browne, D T, Caruso, E M, Chen, R, Chie, B-T, Chopik, W J, Collins, R N, Cong, C W, Conway, L G, Davis, M, Day, M V, Dhaliwal, N A, Durham, J D, Dziekan, M, Elbaek, C T, Shuman, E, Fabrykant, M, Firat, M, Fong, G T, Frimer, J A, Gallegos, J M, Goldberg, S B, Gollwitzer, A, Goyal, J, Graf-Vlachy, L, Gronlund, S D, Hafenbrädl, S, Hartanto, A, Hirshberg, M J, Hornsey, M J, Howe, P D L, Izadi, A, Jaeger, B, Kačmár, P, Kim, Y J, Krenzler, R, Lannin, D G, Lin, H-W, Lou, N M, Lua, V Y Q, Lukaszewski, A W, Ly, A L, Madan, C R, Maier, M, Majeed, N M, March, D S, Marsh, A A, Misiak, M, Myrseth, K O R, Napan, J M, Nicholas, J, Nikolopoulos, K, O, J, Otterbring, T, Paruzel-Czachura, M, Pauer, S, Protzko, J, Raffaelli, Q, Ropovik, I, Ross, R M, Roth, Y, Røysamb, E, Schnabel, L, Schütz, A, Seifert, M, Sevincer, A T, Sherman, G T, Simonsson, O, Sung, M-C, Tai, C-C, Talhelm, T, Teachman, B A, Tetlock, P E, Thomakos, D, Tse, D C K, Twardus, O J, Tybur, J M, Ungar, L, Vandermeulen, D, Vaughan Williams, L, Vosgerichian, H A, Wang, Q, Wang, K, Whiting, M E, Wollbrant, C E, Yang, T, Yogeeswaran, K, Yoon, S, Alves, V R, Andrews-Hanna, J R, Bloom, P A, Boyles, A, Charis, L, Choi, M, Darling-Hammond, S, Ferguson, Z E, Kaiser, C R, Karg, S T, Ortega, A L, Mahoney, L, Marsh, M S, Martinie, M F R C, Michaels, E K, Millroth, P, Naqvi, J B, Ng, W, Rutledge, R B, Slattery, P, Smiley, A H, Strijbis, O, Sznycer, D, Tsukayama, E, van Loon, A, Voelkel, J G, Wienk, M N A, Wilkening, T & Collaborative, T F 2023, ' Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change ', Nature Human Behaviour . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1 Nature Human Behaviour
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(44):e2203150119. National Academy of Sciences Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(44):e2203150119. NATL ACAD SCIENCES Breznau, N, Rinke, E M, Wuttke, A, Nguyen, H H V, Adem, M, Adriaans, J, Alvarez-Benjumea, A, Andersen, H K, Auer, D, Azevedo, F, Bahnsen, O, Balzer, D, Bauer, G, Bauer, P C, Baumann, M, Baute, S, Benoit, V, Bernauer, J, Berning, C, Berthold, A, Bethke, F S, Biegert, T, Blinzler, K, Blumenberg, J N, Bobzien, L, Bohman, A, Bol, T, Bostic, A, Brzozowska, Z, Burgdorf, K, Burger, K, Busch, K B, Carlos-Castillo, J, Chan, N, Christmann, P, Connelly, R, Czymara, C S, Damian, E, Ecker, A, Edelmann, A, Eger, M A, Ellerbrock, S, Forke, A, Forster, A, Gaasendam, C, Gavras, K, Gayle, V, Gessler, T, Merhout, F, Schaeffer, M & The Crowdsourced Replication Inititative 2022, ' Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty ', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol. 119, no. 44, 2203150119 . https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203150119 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 119, 44 Breznau, Nate; Rinke, Eike Mark; Wuttke, Alexander; Nguyen, Hung H. V.; Adem, Muna; Adriaans, Jule; Alvarez-Benjumea, Amalia; Andersen, Henrik K.; Auer, Daniel; Azevedo, Flavio; Bahnsen, Oke; Balzer, Dave; Bauer, Gerrit; Bauer, Paul C.; Baumann, Markus; Baute, Sharon; Benoit, Verena; Bernauer, Julian; Berning, Carl; Berthold, Anna; ... (2022). Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America-PNAS, 119(44), e2203150119. National Academy of Sciences NAS 10.1073/pnas.2203150119 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 119 Breznau, N, Rinke, E M, Wuttke, A, Nguyen, H H V, Adem, M, Adriaans, J, Alvarez-Benjmea, A, Andersen, H K, Auer, D, Azevedo, F, Bahnsen, O, Balzer, D, Bauer, G, Bauer, P C, Baumann, M, Baute, S, Benoit, V, Bernauer, J, Berning, C, Berthold, A, Bethke, F S, Biegert, T, Blinzler, K, Blumenberg, J N, Bobzien, L, Bohman, A, Bol, T, Bostic, A, Brzozowska, Z, Burgdorf, K, Burger, K, Busch, K B, Carlos-Castillo, J, Chan, N, Christmann, P, Connelly, R, Czymara, C S, Damian, E, Ecker, A, Edelmann, A, Eger, M A, Ellerbrock, S, Forke, A, Forster, A, Gaasendam, C, Gavras, K, Gayle, V, Gessler, T, Gnambs, T, Godefroidt, A, Grömping, M, Groß, M, Gruber, S, Gummer, T, Hadjar, A, Heisig, J P, Hellmeier, S, Heyne, S, Hirsch, M, Hjerm, M, Hochman, O, Hövermann, A, Hunger, S, Hunkler, C, Huth, N, Ignácz, Z S, Jacobs, L, Jacobsen, J, Jaeger, B, Jungkunz, S, Jungmann, N, Kauff, M, Kleinert, M, Klinger, J, Kolb, J-P, Kołczyńska, M, Kuk, J, Kunißen, K, Sinatra, D K, Langenkamp, A, Lersch, P M, Löbel, L-M, Lutscher, P, Mader, M, Madia, J E, Malancu, N, Maldonado, L, Marahrens, H, Martin, N, Martinez, P, Mayerl, J, Mayorga, O J, McManus, P, McWagner, K, Meeusen, C, Meierrieks, D, Mellon, J, Merhout, F, Merk, S, Meyer, D, Micheli, L, Mijs, J, Moya, C, Neunhoeffer, M, Nüst, D, Nygård, O, Ochsenfeld, F, Otte, G, Pechenkina, A O, Prosser, C, Raes, L, Ralston, K, Ramos, M R, Roets, A, Rogers, J, Ropers, G, Samuel, R, Sand, G, Schachter, A, Schaeffer, M, Schieferdecker, D, Schlueter, E, Schmidt, R, Schmidt, K M, Schmidt-Catran, A, Schmiedeberg, C, Schneider, J, Schoonvelde, M, Schulte-Cloos, J, Schumann, S, Schunck, R, Schupp, J, Seuring, J, Silber, H, Sleegers, W, Sonntag, N, Staudt, A, Steiber, N, Steiner, N, Sternberg, S, Stiers, D, Stojmenovska, D, Storz, N, Striessnig, E, Stroppe, A-K, Teltemann, J, Tibajev, A, Tung, B, Vagni, G, Van Assche, J, van der Linden, M, van der Noll, J, Van Hootegem, A, Vogtenhuber, S, Voicu, B, Wagemans, F, Wehl, N, Werner, H, Wiernik, B M, Winter, F, Wolf, C, Yamada, Y, Zhang, N, Ziller, C, Zins, S & Żółtak, T 2022, ' Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty ', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 119, no. 44, pp. 1-8 . https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203150119 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(44):e2203150119. NATL ACAD SCIENCES