Exponential Smoothing Forecast of African Americans' COVID-19 Fatalities
- Resource Type
- Conference
- Authors
- Oladunni, Timothy; Denis, Max; Ososanya, Esther; Barry, Abdoulaye
- Source
- 2021 2nd International Conference on Computing and Data Science (CDS) CDS Computing and Data Science (CDS), 2021 2nd International Conference on. :466-471 Jan, 2021
- Subject
- Computing and Processing
COVID-19
Smoothing methods
Computational modeling
Sociology
Predictive models
Data science
Statistics
forecast
trend
exponential smoothing
coronavirus
pandemic
African American
- Language
This work focuses on the spread and impact of COVID-19 in the black community. A detailed analysis will improve the universality of a comprehensive mitigation strategy in reducing and combatting the spread of coronavirus. Our analysis of COVID-19 spans March 2020 to November 2020. Forecasting computation was based on exponential smoothing. The quality of our models was evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Predominantly black states in the US were considered for the experiment. All things being equal, a forecast to February 2021 suggests a disturbing forecast for the African American communities in the states investigated.