Trajectory Difference Distribution Analysis Based on Monte Carlo Method
- Resource Type
- Conference
- Authors
- Yang, Junli; Zhang, Congxiao; Qian, Yu
- Source
- 2021 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Civil Aviation Safety and Information Technology (ICCASIT) Civil Aviation Safety and Information Technology (ICCASIT), 2021 IEEE 3rd International Conference on. :1265-1267 Oct, 2021
- Subject
- Aerospace
Computing and Processing
Monte Carlo methods
Temperature
Wind speed
Conferences
Mathematical models
Trajectory
Safety
Monte Carlo method
data analysis
flight path prediction
trajectory prediction
- Language
Aiming at the problem of actual flight path prediction, a basic concept of trajectory prediction is introduced. This concept is based on mathematical models but does not take practical factors into account. This article has collected 200 QAR data at a certain airport, to find out the factors that would cause deviation between predicted trajectory and actual trajectory and use Monte Carlo method to simulate the track distribution. Determine the error distribution and confidence of performance simulation trajectory. The research shows the distributions between real trajectory and simulated trajectory.