气候变化领域已成为当前的研究热点,零被引论文也受到越来越多的关注,本文基于SSCI数据库,对气候变化领域的社科研究论文及其与自然科学交叉研究部分进行较为全面的定量统计分析,并且重点对其零被引论文的发展趋势与分布情况进行了探讨.研究结果表明:1990~2014年,气候变化的社科论文有了明显增长,特别是在2005年之后,增速加快,这些论文的零被引率在较长一段时间内是稳定并且低于10%的,说明这些论文受到了较高的关注.美国在气候变化社科研究方面表现突出,中国作为唯一发展中国家,虽然起步较晚,但后期的增长速度较快.对于SSCI论文数最多的10个国家,论文总量与其零被引论文数存在一定正相关关系,但其零被引率的变化则并未呈现明显的相关关系.全球范围内,SSCI论文数最多的10个机构全部为高校,并且大多来自英国和美国.而对于中国来说,研究所的表现则更为明显.TOP10机构的零被引论文数及其占比与机构本身的SSCI论文总量并未呈现明显的单调变化趋势.无论是整体水平,还是主要国家和机构的分析结果均表明,共同收录论文的零被引率均较低,这不仅是由于气候变化的研究主题的较高关注度,同时,自然科学与社会科学在引用规律方面的不同也使得交叉领域研究的引用也较多,其零被引率也相对较低.
Quantitative analysis on papers of social science in the field of climate change and their interdisciplinary studies are conducted in this paper based on SSCI data and especially the development trend and distribution of non-cited papers.From 1990 to 2014,there has been a marked increase in the number of social papers in cli-mate change,particularly a accelerated growth has been seen after 2005.The non-cited rates of these papers are stable over a long period of time and are below 10%,indicating that these papers have received a high degree of attention.The United States has made outstanding a-chievements in the field of climate change.China, as the only developing country in TOP10, has a relatively fast growth rate, although it started late.For the 10 countries with the largest number of papers in SSCI, there is a positive correlation between the total number of papers and the number of non-cited articles, but the non-cited rates does not show a significant correlation. Globally,the 10 institutions with the largest number of SSCI papers are all universities,mostly from Britain and the United states.For China, the Institute's perform-ance is even more pronounced.The number of non-ci-ted papers from TOP10 institutions and its proportion of total amount of SSCI in the institution itself do not show obvious monotonic 1trend.Overall, the non-cited pa-pers rate is relatively low,this is not only because of the theme of climate change has the high degree of concern, at the same time,papers from cross research field have also been cited more and its non-cited rate is relatively low.