分析了国外炼化产业低碳发展现状和趋势,以及中国炼化产业的发展现状、碳排放情况和面临的挑战.预测了中国炼化产业的发展趋势.提出了中国炼化产业实现碳达峰和碳中和("双碳")的目标和七大路径,需要开发和推广的主要支撑技术.针对未来中国炼化产业承担的时代赋予的历史责任和近中期仍将保持一定的增长态势的国情,提出要坚持从国情和国民经济与社会发展对炼化产业的实际需要出发,积极稳妥、科学有序推进炼化产业实现"双碳"目标.建议要根据中国炼化产业发展阶段制定行业差异化的降碳政策;制定支持政策推进现有炼化企业低碳化技术改造;鼓励炼油与化工行业开发利用农林废弃物和废弃合成材料;支持开展炼化企业能源系统与小型核堆耦合研究,制定耦合的法规、标准,推进示范项目建设;支持炼化行业引进工业燃料电池等先进关键技术,加快提升化石能源转化效率.
This paper deeply analyzes the current situation and trends of low-carbon development of the refining and chemical industry overseas,the development status,carbon emission situation,and challenges of China's refining and chemical industry,and predicts the development trends of China's refining and chemical industry.Moreover,the goal of achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality("dual carbon")and seven major paths are proposed,as well as the main supporting technologies that need to be developed and promoted.Considering the historical responsibility given by the era to China's refining and chemical industry in the future and the national conditions that a certain growth trend will be maintained in the near and medium term,it is proposed that the refining and chemical industry should be promoted to achieve the goal of"dual carbon"in an active,steady,scientific and orderly way by adhering to the national conditions,as well as the actual needs for the refining and chemical industry in terms of the national conditions and national economic and social development.According to the research,the following suggestions are put forward:(1)to develop differentiated carbon reduction policies based on the development stage of China's refining and chemical industry;(2)to formulate supporting policies to promote low-carbon technology transformation in existing refining and chemical enterprises;(3)to encourage the refining and chemical industry to develop and utilize the agricultural and forestry waste and waste synthetic materials;(4)to support the research of the coupling of energy systems and small nuclear reactors in refining and chemical enterprises,formulate coupling regulations and standards and promote the construction of demonstration projects;(5)to support the refining and chemical industry to introduce advanced key technologies such as industrial fuel cells to accelerate the improvement of fossil energy conversion efficiency.