BackgroundSkeletal metastases often occur in men with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) where bone biomarkers are prognostic for overall survival (OS). In those with highly elevated markers, there is preferential benefit from bone-targeted therapy. In the phase IIIS0421 docetaxel +/- atrasentan trial, clinical covariates and bone biomarkers were analyzed to identify CRPC subsets with differential outcomes.Subjects and methodsMarkers of bone resorption [N-telopeptide-NTx; pyridinoline-PYD] and formation [C-terminal collagen propeptide-CICP; bone alkaline phosphatase-BAP] were measured in pre-treatment sera. Bone biomarkers and clinical covariates were included in a Cox model for OS; bone markers were added in a stepwise selection process. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed for risk factor models +/- bone markers. Significant variables were allowed to compete in a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Hazard ratios(HR) were calculated by comparing OS in each of the terminal nodes to a reference group in a Cox model.Results750 patients were included. Each bone marker significantly contributed to the risk factor-adjusted OS Cox model, with higher levels associated with worse OS. BAP (HR = 1.15, p = 0.008), CICP (HR = 1.27, p