Estimating the Number of Attacks to Civilians in Ukraine: A Quantitative Analysis from Media Sources.
- Resource Type
- Essay
- Authors
- Farcomeni, Alessio; Maruotti, Antonello
- Source
- Peace Review. Jan-Mar2024, Vol. 36 Issue 1, p37-52. 16p.
- Subject
- *RUSSIAN invasion of Ukraine, 2022-
*INTERNATIONAL conflict
*CRIMES against civilians in war
*GEOPOLITICS
*BALANCE of power
- Language
- ISSN
- 1040-2659
We describe a compiled database of daily reports of attacks involving civilians that are associated with the Russian aggression to Ukraine. We argue how obtaining reliable estimates is beneficial for conflict resolution and postwar. Using appropriate statistical methods we correct for undercount and report unbiased estimates, with their associated confidence intervals. We discuss the territorial and time heterogeneity of civilian incidents. We argue that media sources, combined with appropriate methodologies, can be a timely and appropriate method for estimating the extent of harm in war times. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]