A major challenge in peatland carbon cycle modeling is the estimation of subsurface methane (CH) and carbon dioxide (CO) production and consumption rates and pathways. The most common methods for modeling these processes are soil incubations and stable isotope modeling, both of which may involve departures from field conditions. To explore the impacts of these departures, we measured CH/CO concentration ratios and C fractionation factors (α, indicating CH production pathways) in field pore water from a thawing subarctic peatland, and compared these values to those observed in incubations of corresponding peat samples. Incubation CH/CO production ratios were significantly and positively correlated with observed field CH/CO concentration ratios, though observed field ratios were ~20 % of those in incubations due to CH's lower solubility in pore water. After correcting the field ratios for CH loss with an isotope mass balance model, the incubation CH/CO ratios and α were both significantly positively correlated with field ratios and α (respectively), both with slopes indistinguishable from 1. Although CH/CO ratios and α were slightly higher in the incubations, these shifts were consistent along the thaw progression, indicating that ex situ incubations can replicate trends in in situ CH production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]